My new favorite phenomenon

The donut phenomenon
This article about the demolition of a school in Osaka had an interesting explanation:

At its peak in 1958, the school had 1,270 enrolled students.

But 30 years down the track, the so-called donut phenomenon” had taken hold.

Osaka’s downtown population headed for the suburbs leaving a gaping hole in the city center-and a serious shortage of school-age kids. By 1989, Aijitsu Elementary School had just 47 students and it was forced to integrate the following year with nearby Kaihei Elementary School.

Mmm, donut phenomenon.

Jenkins’ Trip to NC


Charles Jenkins, the man who deserted the US Army to face a living hell in North Korea, is back in Japan after visiting his mother in North Carolina. He enjoyed his 2-week weeklong visit to his hometown, and we know this for a fact because reporters were in his face the whole time. Jenkins and family were greeted by a line of photographers and reporters starting at Narita airport, a similar line when he touched down in North Carolina, and from the beginning to the end of his trip the media followed him as if he were the pied piper. To show you how closely he was followed, just take a look at the things they covered:

Jenkins meets his mother

Jenkins gives present to friend
Jenkins visits graveyard

Jenkins and family go bowling
Jenkins visits Veterans’ Museum (For this story, I saw on Japanese TV news that a reporter shoved a microphone into Hitomi Soga’s face as she was viewing the exhibit to ask, “What do you think about the museum?”
Jenkins visits lake where he used to play as a child

They followed him EVERYWHERE. Before he came, I naively considered going to NC (only 3 hours away) to try and interview him. I was unprepared, however, for the absolute explosion of coverage that followed his arrival.

My boss explained the obvious to me: the kidnapping story captures the Japanese public’s attention on a level that goes beyond even America’s fascination with the Michael Jackson case. As a result, reporters are never far from Jenkins or Soga. While they may have stopped recording his every move during the period of downtime preceding his trip to the US, they were hot on his trail as soon as something dramatic happened. The media scramble might be a little distasteful, but I must admit I eat it up like the glutton I am.

But why is he putting up with this bullshit? I mean, there are ways to avoid reporters if you want to. The answer to that, I believe, is that the publicity keeps him in the public eye and will make it easier for him to sell his memoirs when they come out. Time Asia bureau chief Jim Frederick is working closely with the former defector to get his biography written and published. I know I’ll get it as soon as it comes out.

UPDATE: NKZone points us to a THINK News‘ link to a sympathetic editorial from the Raleigh News & Observer.

NEWS FLASH OMFG: FAMILY MART TO OPEN IN AMERICA!!!!!


AP brings good tidings:

Japan’s ‘Family Mart’ to Open in U.S.
06.21.2005, 09:14 AM

AWESOME Japanese convenience store operator FamilyMart Co. said Tuesday it plans to open 200 stores in the U.S. over the next four years, the first in California.

The inaugural U.S. store will open July 20 in West Hollywood, California, under the name “Famima,” the nickname widely used by Japanese.

It will offer traditional Japanese convenience store staples like “omusubi” rice balls, “bento” box lunches and sushi, as well as U.S. fare like takeaway sandwiches, the company said in a statement. < -- I've died and gone to heaven! "We would like our American customers to experience a new shopping style," it said. FUCK YEAH, I have been waiting for this for EIGHT YEARS!!! The store will also feature wireless Internet access, an ATM, a copy machine and an eat-in area, it said. COOL! The company said it plans to have three U.S. locations by the end of the year and about 200 by February 2009. OPEN ONE IN DC. I BEG YOU. FamilyMart already has about 11,500 stores, including franchises, in Japan and other Asian locations including South Korea, Thailand, China and Taiwan.

Guess what? When “Famima” opens in DC, I never have to go to Japan again! I’ll just eat lunch there every day! Haha! I never thought Forbes Magazine would make me feel like dancing on air, but then I never expected this either! Joy!

Six-party talks were Japan’s idea, says former Assistant Secretary of State James A. Kelly

From Asahi:

Former Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs for the US Dept. of State James A. Kelly, who acted as head representative of the US for the 6-Party talks dealing with the North Korean nuclear issue, revealed that the creation of the 6-Party Talks was Japan’s idea. When then-Secretary of State Colin Powell visited Japan, China, and Korea in 2003, the Japanese government presented the structure of the talks to him. He then proceeded to China, where he persuaded then-Premier Jiang Zemin to go along, succeeding in forcing North Korea, who had wanted a bilateral solution between NK and the US, to deal with the issue multilaterally.

According to an interview with Kelly from his residence in Hawaii, in 2003, the year in which North Korea worsened the nuclear problem by restarting the nuclear facility at Yong Byong, the US was considering multilateral talks that included the 5 permanent members of the UN Security Council, Japan, South Korea, the EU, Australia and others using multiple combinations.

The Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) presented the idea of either 5-party talks including North and South Korea as well as the US, Japan, and China, or 6-party talks including Russia as well, when Powell visited Japan, South Korea, and China on the event of South Korean President Roh Mu Hyun’s inauguration in February of the same year. The proposal was based on the frustrating experience of being left out of the “4-party talks” between the US, China, and North and South Korea.

“Powell presented the idea as coming from the US, since he thought it would be easier for the Chinese to agree than if he said it was Japan’s idea,” Kelly explained. China was initially hesitant, saying, “The nuclear problem is between the US and North Korea,” but America was insistent. After a three-party talk in April, the first six-party talks started in Beijing in August 2003.

Kelly said, “The six-party talks are the best framework to induce North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons. North Korea isn’t responding because it doesn’t like to feel ganged up on 5 to 1.” Expressing his desire to see the talks reopened, Kelly added, “The six-party talks aren’t dead.”

Japan’s whaling diplomacy: Connections to ODA

Whaling is in the news again, thanks to the annual IWC meeting in Ulsan, South Korea. Some interesting articles have come out of the hype:

  • Washington Post describes Japan’s efforts to rebuild domestic demand for whale meat.
  • BBC covers the situation pretty well.
  • Japan is accused of applying pressure on countries to support its seemingly arbitrary pro-whaling policy. I mean, no one in Japan CARES about eating whale except people who miss seeing it in school lunches, it just seems like the bozos in government who are really interested in making people into it. Curzon thinks it’s a good source of meat. I agree, with some reservations.

    Anyway, people say that Japan’s tactics in the IWC meetings is “sleazy” at best, “illegal” or at least “in violation of the spirit of ODA” at worst. Sure, asking for a secret vote EVERY YEAR might get a little tiring, and the several astroturf organizations created and soulless PR gurus employed to show support for whaling get shriller and more transparent all the time. But what I’m interested in is perhaps the most serious allegation: that Japan uses its ODA to pressure countries to support whaling.

    My original idea for this post was to analyze the data myself, comparing aid that IWC members get from Japan and their voting patterns. Thankfully, however, Wikipedia has done my work for me already:

    Allegations of “vote-buying”

    Each year the IWC meets to discuss arising from the convention. Member countries may propose a resolution for the Commission to adopt. It is usual for Japan to propose a motion to allow it a commercial hunt in the Pacific Ocean. Over the moratorium years the balance of support on this issue has changed from a majority in favour of keeping the ban to a 50-50 split. IWC rules say that such a change could only be brought about with a 75% majority in favour.

    Campaign groups and some governments claim that the Japanese Fisheries Agency has carried out a programme of “vote-buying” – i.e. offering aid to poorer countries in return for them joining the IWC and supporting Japanese positions on whaling.

    Specifically, Japan has given $320m in overseas aid to Antigua and Barbuda, Dominica, Grenada, Guinea, Morocco, Panama, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, St Kitts and Nevis and the Solomon Islands. Each of these countries has also sided with Japan in each IWC vote since 2001. Greenpeace says that the two events are correlated.

    When these allegations were aired at the London IWC meeting in 2001 by New Zealand delegate to the commission, Sandra Lee, the Japanese delegate comprehensively denied the allegations. Masayuki Komatsu said “Japan gives foreign aid to more than 150 nations around the world and that includes strong anti-whaling nations such as Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and others who receive far more aid than the Caribbean nations [..] If Japan was buying votes, you would see 150 nations in the IWC and as a consequence the unnecessary moratorium would have been lifted years ago.”

    Komatsu also said that Caribbean countries naturally supported pro-whaling resolutions as they are whaling countries themselves (mostly of smaller cetaceans) and that the New Zealand commissioner was inventing “fairy stories”.

    In response to this rebuttal, anti-whaling groups point to several statements that apparently conflict with the official Japanese position. In an interview reported in The Observer newspaper in May 2001, Atherton Martin, Dominica’s former Environment and Fisheries Minister said “They [Japan] make it clear, that if you don’t vote for them, they will have to reconsider the aid. They use money crudely to buy influence.” Martin resigned because of the issue. Greenpeace also quotes Tongan parliamentarian Samiu K Vaipulu as saying that Japan had linked whale votes to aid.

    Indeed in a famous interview with Australian ABC television in July 2001, in which he described Minke Whales as “cockroaches of the sea”, Japanese Fisheries Agency official Maseyuku Komatsu said that offering aid was “a major tool” in obtaining backing for a return to commercial whaling. The previous week Lester Bird, prime minister of Antigua and Barbuda, had said “Quite frankly I make no bones about it…if we are able to support the Japanese, and the quid pro quo is that they are going to give us some assistance, I am not going to be a hypocrite; that is part of why we do so”.

    Japan notes that major anti-whaling nations such as Australia and New Zealand also donate aid to poor countries on the IWC and thus it could easily accuse the anti-whaling lobby of the same tactics.

    But is it against the spirit of the ODA regime? Here is what Japan’s “ODA Charter” has to say:

    (2) Any use of ODA for military purposes or for aggravation of international conflicts should be avoided.

    It looks like Japan reserves the right to use its ODA to pressure other countries if it wants to.

    There is clearly a strong taboo in America against eating intelligent mammals. We love Shamu, go to Sea World, go whale watching, and think it’s brutal for the Japanese to insist on killing an endangered species. I don’t think I need to prove that, but here’s a link anyway.

    Personally, I am for the whaling moratorium. Though whale meat could be a potential food source if it’s well-managed, there needs to be a balance between demand and supply in order to ensure the survival of any species, not just whales. For Japan to push for an end to it simply to satisfy fishing lobbies and politicians with a case of nostalgia is irresponsible in the extreme.

    In the area of fisheries, we as a species are just not at a point where we can trust ourselves to manage our fish populations responsibly. Among some species in danger of depletion due to excess demand (mostly from Japan, the US, and other sushi-eating countries) are southern bluefin tuna and salmon. There are some controls on overfishing but in general the international community is failing when it comes to fishery control.

    University seeks protection after students dry up

    The From the Japan Times has just reported the first case of something that a lot of people have been expecting for a long time.

    Hagi International University in Yamaguchi Prefecture was expected to file for protection from creditors with the Tokyo District Court as early as Tuesday due to a shortage of students, city officials said.

    The institution will be the first university to apply for court-led rehabilitation in Japan due to a student shortage, the Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Ministry said Monday.

    Similar cases may follow due to Japan’s declining child population.

    Most readers already know that low birth rates in a number of industrialized countries, in particular Japan and South Korea, have fallen below the death rate, meaning that the total population will soon start declining. The most obvious sympton of a declining population of young people is the closure of schools. With less young people, there is obviously less of a need for schools to educate them. Is this the first school closure of many? What’s the real story behind Hagi International University?

    The private university with four-year international studies courses, the institute’s single department, was founded in 1999 with 4 billion yen in subsidies from the Yamaguchi prefectural and Hagi municipal governments.

    This sentence should be a massive red flag. Haji International University was a complete and utter joke. Aside from the utter arrogance of giving the prestigious label of ‘university’ to a tiny school with only a single department and a handful of students, Hagi International University never had any reason to exist in the first place. Japan’s coming population decline has been a widely known issue for years now, and nobody with even the slightest bit of common sense would have ever come up with a plan to actually build a NEW one in 1999!

    The university has tried to recruit 300 students a year, but enrollment has fallen considerably short of expectations from the first year, with only 22 students enrolling in 2004 and 42 in 2005.

    To deal with the shortage, the university increased admissions of foreign students in 2001. But immigration authorities became increasingly reluctant to issue visas to students from China after many foreign students disappeared after entering the country.

    What stupidity. I suppose this school was nothing but another of the utterly superfluous public works projects that Japanese local government is famous for. If any of the officials involved in the establishment of this school still have their jobs, they absolutely deserve to lose them now. In fact, they probably could also stand to be investigated for corruption or illegal profitering. Four billion yen in government subsidies went into the construction of this abomination of a ‘university’ which has now filed for bankruptcy protection, and I would be willing to bet that some fraction of that money ended up in the wrong pockets.

    Japan’s population decline is a serious issue, and there may very well be consequent school closures in the future, but this particular case is no such thing. Hagi International University only ever had a total student body of 194 students, out of a planned capacity of 1200. Clearly even if Japan’s population were holding steady, or even growing at a moderate rate, this school was built far, far too large to ever be sustainable.

    New PLA missile `a warning’ for the US, experts say

    Does anyone else finds the rhetoric about China’s “peaceful rise” a little bit unconvincing?

    From the Taipei Times:

    China’s newly-developed submarine-launched Ju Lang-2 missile serves as a warning to the US not to underestimate Beijing’s military power, Taiwanese military experts said yesterday.

    “The Ju Lang-2 poses a great threat to the US because it has better precision and guidance and is harder to detect,” said Weng Ming-hsien (翁明賢), a professor from the Institute of Strategic Studies at the Tamkang University.

    “China wants to tell the US that it has never stopped developing nuclear arms. China also wants to warn Russia not to get too close to the US,” he said.

    Weng said China probably would deploy the Ju Lang-2, which carries nuclear warheads, on its Han-class nuclear submarines.

    Lee Shih-ping, a military expert specializing in warplanes and warships, said Ju Lang-2 posed a new security threat to the US because it could be fired from the sea and reach the US interior.

    Iraq – Japan relations

    From The Japan Times:

    The visitors, following Koizumi’s example, did not wear ties to their meeting with the prime minister to show their support for the “Cool Biz” campaign aimed at reducing carbon dioxide emissions through the reduction of air conditioning.

    “We’re not wearing neckties in solidarity with Japanese people,”[Hajim al-Hasani, Iraq’s speaker of the National Assembly] told reporters.

    NYT latest on AIDS in China contains minor shocker

    Chinese City Emerges As Model in AIDS Fight

    Here in mountainous southwestern China, where heroin begat AIDS and AIDS begat death, discrimination and official denial, Gejiu is emerging as a model of how China is trying to reverse its once abysmal record on AIDS. In the last 18 months, China’s top leaders have made AIDS a national priority and introduced a host of policies, some contentious even by Western standards.

    Not too long ago China denied it had an AIDS problem and tried to cover up a tainted blood-selling program that infected untold thousands of farmers. Even now, the police in some cities still arrest and harass advocates for AIDS patients or try to conceal the presence of the disease.

    But places like Gejiu are starting to carry out the central government’s new policies, including needle exchanges and making condoms available in hotel rooms. And the Health Ministry is planning a nationwide expansion. China now has 8 methadone clinics but wants to reach up to 5,000 by 2010.

    This article in the New York Times is in general a fairly interesting but not exactly shocking piece-except for this one quote towards the end. My emphasis added.

    Another immediate challenge for the central government is the limited availability of antiretroviral drugs. Many patients cannot tolerate the regimen offered in the free drug program, but the government does not yet have another regimen. Negotiations are under way with pharmaceutical companies, but China has resisted any steps that might infringe upon patent law.

    Let me show you that last bit again.

    China has resisted any steps that might infringe upon patent law

    My god. Can it possibly be true that the Chinese government has finally caved to the international IP lobby?

    West Japan Daily Editorial: PM Should Think of National Interest when Deciding Yasukuni Visit

    After seeing some takes on the Yasukuni issue over at Japan Media Review Weblog, I figured I’d let my own organization, Fukuoka-based West Japan Daily (a typically liberal regional newspaper), put in their two cents in English:

    On the subject of the Yasukuni visit issue, Prime Minister Koizumi is repeating the same old line of “I will decide appropriately when I go there.”

    And to his critics, Japan and Korea, expresses his strong distaste: “It is not for other countries to interfere with a shrine visit that is derived from my own beliefs.”

    If Mr. Koizumi were a mere denizen of Japan, no one could disagree with him. However, the Prime Minister is a public figure, the highest leader representing Japan. This problem won’t be solved just by insisting that no one can quibble with personal belief.

    Why is visiting Yasukuni Shrine sparking such resistance from China and Korea? The PM should think more seriously about this as the representative of this country.

    We also do not think that the recent anti-Japan protests in China are justified. Particularly, not apologizing after we forgave the anti-Japanese demonstrators for attacking a Consul General and the sudden cancellation and return of Vice Premier Wu’s meeting with Koizumi were, diplomatically speaking, extremely rude.

    However, the enshrinement of A-class war criminals who led the Pacific War along with the war dead is at the root of China’s criticism of Koizumi’s visits.

    Even looking at the first official visit to Yasukuni, made in 1985 by then PM Yasuhiro Nakasone but not made again after the next year, the decision was made to cancel further visits because considering Chinese criticism and not going to Yasukuni was seen as stabilizing the Sino-Japanese relationship and working in the Japanese national interest.

    That same Nakasone said of Koizumi’s visits, “It is commendable to stick to one’s beliefs, but it is also important to think of how this affects the whole country’s interests.”

    This is what we would like Koizumi to consider. Sticking to one’s own beliefs without listening to China’s criticism has a direct effect on the Japanese people’s interests.

    The fact that Lower House Chairman Youhei Kono, who conferred with five former PMs, said to Koizumi on May 7 that based on the conference, “You should take the utmost care when considering visiting Yasukuni,” was yet another expression of crisis consciousness that worsening Sino-Japanese relations any more than they are would be detrimental to our interests.

    Komeito head Takenori Kanzaki has also demanded a stop to the visits, saying, “If the visits continue this will have a bad effect on the basis for our coalition.”

    The Prime Minister should understand more than anyone how important stable relations with China are. Despite this, he maintains the attitude that, “It is one of the PM’s roles to pay memorial tribute to the war dead enshrined at Yasukuni.” We understand his beliefs and feelings. That attitude is one reason why the PM enjoys stable popular support.

    However, current popular opinion polls show that a majority of people think that “The PM should cancel his plans to visit Yasukuni Shrine.”

    Koizumi can believe what he wants, but a Prime Minister’s job is to put a priority on breaking the current deadlock between Japan and China. That would not be a capitulation to China’s criticism in the slightest. Most Japanese would agree, I’m sure.